Thursday, June 24, 2010

OK I screwed up

I combined trade scarios into one big scenario with a resulting lineup, that didn’t include one big addition, which led me to another problem.

 

So, Trade Proposal #3:  Glen Davis for Jared Dudley.  Straight-up.

 

This makes your proposed line-up:

 

Jefferson     Perkins

Garnett         Brand

Pierce           Dudley

Turner          T. Allen

Rondo          Robinson

 

I think this lineup provides offensive balance in the first unit and defensive balance in the second unit.  Davis was an important part of the defense in the second unit, and moving Perkins to the second team, it anchors the interior defense while T.A. can go out and shut down the exterior with the energy of Nate Robinson.  Perkins and Brand will keep opponents off easy second-chance points that kept teams in games last year.  Jefferson, Garnett, and Pierce will compliment each others abilities and allow Evan Turner to slowly develop and take advantage of people leaving him to double the others.  This team may not look as nice to the analysts that pick preseason favorites, but I sure as hell would put them up against anybody.

Bruin's Draft Thoughts

From a reactionary standpoint, I’m glad to see Wideman go.  He seemed lost last year, and for $4 million, he should know where he’s going.  But I am concerned with the Bruin’s overall roster strategy.  Too often recently, it seems like they have traded away players at their lowest trade value (Kessel excluded).  At the same time, they sign players to extensions, while the players are at their highest value.  I feel this is why the Bruins are currently hitting their heads on the salary cap and scoring near the bottom of the league.

Rumors are Bruins will trade Savard.  I don’t think it’ll happen.  A team struggling to score is not going to trade its best playmaker, and make their team better.  Also, he has a pretty cap-friendly contract, and is coming off a pretty big concussion.  He had a bad year, so he won’t return as much as he could.  I do think the Bruins need to make a trade, and Tim Thomas is the best bet. 

The problem with trading Tim Thomas is that people will look at his age and remaining contract and determine that he isn’t worth it.  But he proved that in a strong defensive minded organization he can be a great goal tender.  He had an injury he played through, so he could rebound and have a better year.  Dark horse trade partner would be Atlanta.  They just signed the Bruins Asst. Coach Ramsay.  He knows what Thomas is capable of, and Atlanta is looking to drastically improve their defense.  Though I think Philly is the best matchup of a team needing goaltending, and enough overpaid wingers to swing a deal that works both ways.

The Bruins may be wary of trading Thomas because they may want the insurance behind young goaltender Tuuka Rask.  In that case, they might be looking into trading Bergeron to Atlanta.  They need offensive more than the defense Bergeron provides, and Ramsay would probably love to have such a defensive-minded center on his team.  Boston can replace Bergeron with Seguin and save some money to add more wingers.

My hopes are that Thomas goes to Philly and returns a Danny Briere to play with Savard and Lucic.  This should recreate the Lucic, Savard, Kessel line, and leave Wheeler, Krejci, and Horton on the second line.  Seguin could take the third line with Ryder and Recchi and make that a high scoring option.  The fourth line would then be Thornton and any number of guys from Paille, Sobotka, Marchand, Begin. 

Look at Wheeler to go somewhere if they make a trade to open a door for Caron or Lehtonen to get a shot. Personally I think Wheeler and Horton make a good combo for Krejci.  Either way, I think the Bruins should be a better balanced team next year, and ready to compete for the Eastern Conference Finals.  

 

Crazy Celtics Trade Scenarios

Proposed Trade:  Rasheed Wallace and C’s 2 picks in 2010, for Elton Brand and the #2 pick in the draft.  Philly is desperate to dump Brand’s contract, and Wallace is likely to retire.  The C’s can get a quality big to put on the bench and backup Perkins as he returns from knee surgery without adding too much to the payroll.  Wallace was slated for 6 million next year.  You combine Wallace’s salary with Scalabrine’s salary, and it’s not that big a hit, especially considering you would be able to draft a high impact player like Evan Turner.  ‘Sheed is a Philly guy, so he would get a chance to retire in Philly, and Boston could reduce the number of technicals the team absorbed this year.   Where the Celtics aren’t in the market for a max contract free agent, this is a way to add a big splash. 

Why this won’t work:  The Celtic’s won’t want to add salary for an aging former all-star.  The Sixers won’t want to give up the #2 pick just to dump salary and draft a couple of projects.

Why this could work:  The Celtics must know that they’ll need another big man with Rasheed possibly retiring and Perkins having knee surgery.  They don’t have max player salary space, so they can’t bid for Boozer or Bosh.  Philly could combine the picks to move back up into the draft to get a stronger player and still dump the bad contract.  Analysts are calling this a balanced and deep draft, so they could probably find someone around 10 (Indiana?) to deal with.

Proposed Trade #2:  Reports are surfacing that Minnesota is willing to trade Al Jefferson to balance their team for the triangle offense they will be running under Rambis.  How about a Ray Allen sign and trade for Al Jefferson. 

Why it won’t work:  Ray Allen really isn’t the prototypical wing player needed for the triangle.  Ray Allen probably wouldn’t want to end his career trying to get the Wolves to the playoffs.  The Celtics would probably prefer to try and retain Ray Allen themselves.

Why this could work:  If it is the biggest contract Ray could get, he might take it, as it is the last contract he’ll get.  Combining the shooting ability of Ray Allen with the solid point guard play and low post scoring in Minnesota should make the offense click and provide a veteran presence.  Besides, at least then Minnesota could claim they netted Ray Allen for Kevin Garnett (eventually.)  The Celtics could have theoretically gotten their shooting guard of the future in Evan Turner, so retaining Allen wouldn’t be quite so important.

Resulting Lineup (assuming some re-signing)

Perkins                          Brand

Garnett                         Davis

Pierce                           Finley

Turner                         T. Allen

Rondo                         Robinson